See Jacques Monod, Chance and Necessity: an essay on
the Natural Philosophy of Modern Biology, trans. Austryn Wainhouse,
London: Collins, 1972, pp. 109-113
Summary
"In modern biological research some of the work
most outstanding in methodology and significance is that known as molecular
genetics (Benzer, Yanovsky, Brenner, Crick). This work has, in particular,
made it possible to analyse the different types of discrete accidental
alterations a DNA sequence may suffer. Various mutations have been
identified as due to:
1. The substitution of a single pair of nucleotides for another pair;
2. The deletion or addition of one or several pairs of nucleotides;
3. Various kinds of "scrambling" of the genetic text by inversion,
duplication, displacement, or fusion of more or less extended segments.
We say that these events are accidental, due to chance. And since
they constitute the only possible source of modifications in the genetic
text, itself the sole repository of the organism's hereditary structures,
it necessarily follows that chance alone is at the source of every innovation,
of all creation in the biosphere. Pure chance, absolutely free but
blind, at the very root of the stupendous edifice of evolution: this central
concept of modern biology is no longer one among other possible or even
conceivable hypotheses. It is today the sole conceivable hypothesis,
the only one compatible with observed and tested fact. And nothing
warrants the supposition (or the hope) that conceptions about this should,
or ever could, be revised. There is no scientific position, in any
of the sciences, more destructive of anthropocentrism than this one, and
no other more unacceptable to the intensely teleonomic creatures that we
are. So for every vitalist or animist ideology this is the concept
or rather the spectre to be exorcised at all costs. It is therefore
most important to say something about the words chance and random,
and to specify in what sense they may and must be used with regard
to mutations as the source of evolution. The idea of chance is not
a simple one, and the word itself is employed in a wide variety of contexts.
A few examples will help.
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Dice and roulette are called games of chance,
and the theory of probability is used to forecast their outcome.
But chance enters into these purely mechanical and macroscopic games
only because of the practical impossibility of governing the
throw of the dice or the spinning of the little ball with sufficient precision.
A highly precise mechanical thrower might conceivably be invented
which would go far to reduce the uncertainty of the outcome. Let
us say that in roulette the uncertainty is purely operational and not essential.
It is easy to see that the same holds for the theory of numerous phenomena
where the concept of chance and the theory of probability are used for
purely methodological reasons.
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But in other situations the idea of chance
takes on an essential and no longer merely operational meaning. This
is the case, for instance, in what may be called "absolute coincidences",
those which result from the intersection of two totally independent chains
of events. Suppose that Dr Brown sets out on an emergency call to
a new patient. In the meantime Jones the carpenter has started work
on repairs to the roof of a nearby building. As Dr Brown walks past
the building, Jones inadvertently drops his hammer, whose (deterministic)
trajectory happens to intercept that of the physician, who dies of a fractured
skull. We say he was a victim of chance. What other term fits
such an event, by its very nature unforeseeable ? Chance is obviously
the essential factor here, inherent in the complete independence of two
causal chains of events whose convergence produces the accident.
Now, between the occurrences that can provoke or
permit an error in the replication of the genetic message and its functional
consequences there is also complete independence. The functional
effect depends on the structure, on the actual role of the modified protein,
on the interactions it ensures, on the reactions it catalyses - all things
which have nothing to do with the mutational event itself nor with its
immediate or remote causes, regardless of the nature, whether deterministic
or not, of those "causes".
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Finally, on the microscopic level there exists
a source of even more radical uncertainty, embedded in the quantum structure
of matter. A mutation is in itself a microscopic event, a quantum
event, to which the principle of uncertainty consequently applies.
An event which is hence and by its very nature essentially unpredictable.
The principle of uncertainty was never entirely
accepted by some of the greatest modern physicists, including Einstein,
who was unwilling to admit that "God plays at dice". Certain schools
have retained the principle for its operational usefulness but denied it
the standing of an essential concept. However, all the efforts made
to replace quantum theory by a "finer" structure from which uncertainty
has vanished have ended in failure, and today very few physicists seem
disposed to believe that this principle will ever disappear from their
discipline.
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However this may be it must be stressed that,
even were the principle of uncertainty some day abandoned, it would remain
true that between the determination, however complete, of a mutation in
DNA and the determination of its functional effects on the plane of protein
interaction, one could still see nothing but an "absolute coincidence"
like that defined above by the parable of the workman and the physician.
The event would still belong to the realm of chance. Unless of course
we go back to Laplace's world, from which chance is excluded by definition
and where Dr Brown was always fated to die knocked out by Jones's hammer.
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It will be recalled that Bergson saw evolution
as the expression of a creative force, absolute in the sense that it was
directed to no end except creation in itself and for its own sake.
In this he differed radically from the animists (whether Engels, Teilhard
de Chardin, or optimistic positivists like Spencer), who all regarded evolution
as the majestic unfolding of a programme woven into the very fabric of
the universe.
For them, consequently, evolution was not really
a creation but uniquely the "revelation" of nature's hitherto unexpressed
designs. Whence the tendency to see in embryonic development an emergence
of the same kind as evolutionary emergence. According to modern theory,
the idea of "revelation" applies to epigenetic development, but not of
course to evolutionary emergence, which, owing to the fact that it arises
from the essentially unforeseeable, is the creator of absolute newness.
Might this apparent meeting of the ways between Bergsonian metaphysics
and scientific thought be yet another effect of sheer coincidence ?
Perhaps not: artist and poet that he was, and also very well informed on
the natural sciences of his day, Bergson could not fail to respond to the
dazzling richness of the biosphere and the amazing variety of forms and
behaviour it displays, which indeed seem to bear almost direct witness
to an inexhaustible, wholly untrammelled creative prodigality.
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But where Bergson saw the
clearest proof that the "principle of life" is evolution itself, modern
biology recognizes, instead, that all the properties of living beings are
based on a fundamental mechanism of molecular invariance. For
modern theory evolution is not a property of living beings, since
it stems from the very imperfections of the conserving mechanism
which indeed constitutes their unique privilege. It must, then, be
said that the same source of fortuitous perturbations, of noise, which
in a nonliving (i.e. nonreplicative) system would gradually lead to the
disintegration of all structure, is the progenitor of evolution in the
biosphere and accounts for its unrestricted liberty of creation, thanks
to the replicative structure of DNA: that registry of chance, that tone-deaf
conservatory where the noise is preserved along with the music.
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